Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warszawa
Match details. Ekstraklasa, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 20:30 Lagos time. It is played at Arena Zabrze. The referee is Marcin Szczerbowicz.
What's at stake. Gornik Zabrze are 2nd on 27 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Lech Poznan, 3 points clear of Pogon Szczecin. A win would take them above Lech Poznan. Legia Warszawa are 4th on 23 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Pogon Szczecin, 2 points clear of Wisla Krakow. A win would take them above Pogon Szczecin.
Form. Gornik Zabrze have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D W. In this competition Gornik Zabrze have gone D D W D W W. Legia Warszawa have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D. In this competition Legia Warszawa have gone L D W W D W.
The numbers. Gornik Zabrze score 1.6 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Gornik Zabrze average 15.8 shots (5.0 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Legia Warszawa score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Legia Warszawa average 14.4 shots (4.9 on target), 5.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Gornik Zabrze have won two, drawn three and lost five. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in nine. In the last four, Gornik Zabrze won one, two were drawn and Legia Warszawa won one. The last time they met, on 11 Apr 2026, it finished Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Legia Warszawa: Gornik Zabrze had 7 shots to 14, 57% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Gornik Zabrze are the form side, but the meetings favour Legia Warszawa: in the last ten meetings, Gornik Zabrze won two, Legia Warszawa won five and three were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.29, 74% on the records (Gornik Zabrze: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Legia Warszawa: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Gornik Zabrze Over 0.5 Goals at 1.23. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Gornik Zabrze or Both Teams Score (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Legia Warszawa or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Gornik Zabrze 2-1 Legia Warszawa (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).