Match details. CONMEBOL Libertadores, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.
Form. SC Corinthians SP have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L. Dragonas IDV have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L W.
The numbers. SC Corinthians SP score 3.3 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. SC Corinthians SP average 17.0 shots (8.0 on target), 7.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Dragonas IDV score 1.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Dragonas IDV average 14.4 shots (5.6 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.
The case against. Dragonas IDV's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. SC Corinthians SP to win. Their goals for and against make SC Corinthians SP the likelier winners; SC Corinthians SP are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: SC Corinthians SP Over 0.5 Goals (Dragonas IDV's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: SC Corinthians SP 1-0 Dragonas IDV (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).