Match details. CONMEBOL Libertadores, Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. SE Palmeiras SP have won five, drawn five and lost none of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D D. Independiente Santa Fe have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L.
The numbers. SE Palmeiras SP score 1.5 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. SE Palmeiras SP average 16.1 shots (6.0 on target), 6.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Independiente Santa Fe score two and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Independiente Santa Fe average 11.1 shots (5.7 on target), 3.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 81% against the records' 36%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The read. No firm call: SE Palmeiras SP are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make SE Palmeiras SP the likelier winners; SE Palmeiras SP are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: SE Palmeiras SP 1-1 Independiente Santa Fe (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).