CSCAG

21:30Sat 24 Oct

PON

Caguas Sporting FC vs Ponce FC

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. LPR Pro. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time.

Form. Caguas Sporting FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. Ponce FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.

The numbers. Caguas Sporting FC score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Ponce FC score two and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Caguas Sporting FC 1-1 Ponce FC (13% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Ponce FC the favourite), goals in between.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.22

CAG 6 of 6 (100%) · PON 9 of 10 (90%)91.7%

Caguas Sporting FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Ponce FC: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Caguas Sporting FC: only games against sides at Ponce FC's level · Ponce FC: only games against sides at Caguas Sporting FC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 85%

1.17

CAG 3 of 6 (50%) · PON 7 of 10 (70%)45.3%

Caguas Sporting FC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 6 at home · Ponce FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Caguas Sporting FC: only games against sides at Ponce FC's level · Ponce FC: only games against sides at Caguas Sporting FC's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 66%

1.51

CAG 3 of 6 (50%) · PON 7 of 10 (70%)43.7%

Caguas Sporting FC: both scored in 3 of 6 at home · Ponce FC: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Caguas Sporting FC: only games against sides at Ponce FC's level · Ponce FC: only games against sides at Caguas Sporting FC's level

CAGUAS SPORTING FC GOALS

Caguas Sporting FC Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 88%

1.13

CAG 5 of 6 (83%) · PON 8 of 10 (80%)64.8%

Caguas Sporting FC scored in 5 of 6 at home · Ponce FC conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Caguas Sporting FC: only games against sides at Ponce FC's level · Ponce FC: only games against sides at Caguas Sporting FC's level

PONCE FC GOALS

Ponce FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.33

PON 9 of 10 (90%) · CAG 4 of 6 (67%)60.9%

Ponce FC scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Caguas Sporting FC conceded in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80% · Ponce FC: only games against sides at Caguas Sporting FC's level · Caguas Sporting FC: only games against sides at Ponce FC's level

Left off the list: Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (47%) and the records (54%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Ponce FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Ponce FC win or both teams score (no result call); Ponce FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

Caguas Sporting FC goals →

Ponce FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.5%

5-00.1%

0-110%

1-113%

2-17%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-42%

2-40.9%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

CAGUAS SPORTING FCDWWWLWLDDW1.80 PPG

PONCE FCWLWWWWDDWW2.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CAGUAS SPORTING FC HOMExPONCE FC AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME2.001.10CONCEDED A GAME1.1060%BOTH SCORED70%30%CLEAN SHEETS20%

TRENDS

Caguas Sporting FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Ponce FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Caguas Sporting FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Ponce FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague table