Match details. 1. Division, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Aalborg Portland Park. The referee is J. Tornberg Rasmussen.
What's at stake. Aalborg BK are 7th on 14 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Hobro, 2 points clear of Kolding IF. A win would take them above Hobro. Hobro IK are 6th on 15 points after 12 games, level on points with Aarhus Fremad, 1 point clear of Aalborg. A win would take them above Aarhus Fremad.
Form. Aalborg BK have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D D. Hobro IK have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L D.
The numbers. Aalborg BK score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Aalborg BK average 4.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Hobro IK score 1.2 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Hobro IK average 4.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Aalborg BK have won two, drawn two and lost five. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Aalborg BK won one, one was drawn and Hobro IK won two. The last time they met, on 21 Aug 2026, it finished Aalborg BK 1-2 Hobro IK.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Aalborg BK the likelier winners, but the meetings favour Hobro IK. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Hobro IK's record still gives them 40% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. Aalborg BK or the draw. Their goals for and against make Aalborg BK the likelier winners; the meetings favour Hobro IK.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Aalborg BK 1-1 Hobro IK (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).