Match details. Primera C. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Leones de Rosario FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D. Club Mercedes have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W.
The numbers. Leones de Rosario FC score one and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Leones de Rosario FC average 3.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Club Mercedes score one and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Club Mercedes average 3.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Leones de Rosario FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Club Mercedes or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Leones de Rosario FC 1-1 Club Mercedes (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 10 of 10 (100%) · CLU 10 of 10 (100%)96.4%
Leones de Rosario FC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Club Mercedes: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Leones de Rosario FC: only games against sides at Club Mercedes's level · Club Mercedes: only games against sides at Leones de Rosario FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 10 of 10 (100%) · CLU 9 of 10 (90%)90.6%
Leones de Rosario FC: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Club Mercedes: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Leones de Rosario FC: only games against sides at Club Mercedes's level · Club Mercedes: only games against sides at Leones de Rosario FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 10 of 10 (100%) · CLU 9 of 10 (90%)72.8%
Leones de Rosario FC: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Club Mercedes: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Leones de Rosario FC: only games against sides at Club Mercedes's level · Club Mercedes: only games against sides at Leones de Rosario FC's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 7 of 10 (70%) · CLU 7 of 10 (70%)47.9%
Leones de Rosario FC: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Club Mercedes: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Leones de Rosario FC: only games against sides at Club Mercedes's level · Club Mercedes: only games against sides at Leones de Rosario FC's level
Left off the list: Leones de Rosario FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Club Mercedes or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.4%
Leones de Rosario FC goals →
Club Mercedes goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
LEONES DE ROSARIO FCLWWLDDWWWL1.70 PPG
CLUB MERCEDESWWDWWDLLWL1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LEONES DE ROSARIO FC HOMExCLUB MERCEDES AWAY
0.97SCORED A GAME0.970.78CONCEDED A GAME0.7540%CLEAN SHEETS40%3.68CORNERS A GAME3.842.74CARDS A GAME2.44
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
LEONES DE ROSARIO FC 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.36POINTS A GAME1.82+0.09GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.18+0.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.22.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.022LEAGUE GAMES11
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
85%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
32%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
LEONES DE ROSARIO FC OR DRAW
77%
NO · 80/85
CLUB MERCEDES OR DRAW
54%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (22 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LEONES DE ROSARIO FCxCLUB MERCEDES
8GAMES51.25SCORED A GAME1.200.62CONCEDED A GAME1.401.9GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.675%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%12%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%50%BOTH SCORE40%3.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–7.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Leones de Rosario FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Club Mercedes have scored in 80% of their games.
Leones de Rosario FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Club Mercedes kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards