Match details. Primera Division, Clausura - Quadrangular - 1. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas.
What's at stake. Deportivo La Guaira are 3rd on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Deportivo Tachira FC. A win would take them above Deportivo Tachira FC. Metropolitanos FC are 4th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Monagas SC. A win would take them above Monagas SC.
Form. Deportivo La Guaira have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. In this competition Deportivo La Guaira have gone L D L L L W. Metropolitanos FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition Metropolitanos FC have gone D W W W W W.
The numbers. Deportivo La Guaira score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Deportivo La Guaira average 10.6 shots (4.4 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Metropolitanos FC score 1.7 and concede one a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Metropolitanos FC average 10.8 shots (4.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Deportivo La Guaira have won three, drawn two and lost four. Seven of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Deportivo La Guaira won two, one was drawn and Metropolitanos FC won one. The last time they met, on 5 Aug 2026, it finished Deportivo La Guaira 1-2 Metropolitanos FC.
The case against. Deportivo La Guaira's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Metropolitanos FC to win. An open game. Metropolitanos FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Metropolitanos FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%. Seven of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, 76% on the records (Deportivo La Guaira: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home; Metropolitanos FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away). Leave: Deportivo La Guaira Under 1.5 goals (Deportivo La Guaira's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Deportivo La Guaira 1-2 Metropolitanos FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).