Match details. Premier Division, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Sligo Rovers have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W W. Peamount United Dublin have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L.
The numbers. Sligo Rovers score 1.5 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Sligo Rovers average 4.0 corners and 1.1 cards a game. Peamount United Dublin score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Peamount United Dublin average 4.7 corners and 0.9 cards a game.
The case against. Peamount United Dublin's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Sligo Rovers to win. An open game. Sligo Rovers are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sligo Rovers. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, rated 76% (Sligo Rovers: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9; Peamount United Dublin: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Predicted score: Sligo Rovers 2-1 Peamount United Dublin (8% chance).
The agreed story. Sligo Rovers or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).