FGFCG

15:00Sat 24 Oct

FCS

FC Gori vs FC Samtredia

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Erovnuli Liga 2. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

Form. FC Gori have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W D L D. FC Samtredia have won six, drawn none and lost two of their last eight league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W W L W.

The numbers. FC Gori score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FC Gori average 4.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game. FC Samtredia score 2.6 and concede 0.4 a game over their last eight, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Samtredia average 5.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Gori 1-2 FC Samtredia (9% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (FC Gori the favourite), an open game.

The league run. FC Gori: up and down in the league (L W D L D). FC Samtredia: up and down in the league (L W W L W).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCG 5 of 5 (100%) · FCS 8 of 8 (100%)93%

FC Gori: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · FC Samtredia: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · FC Gori: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at FC Gori's level

FC SAMTREDIA GOALS

FC Samtredia Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCS 6 of 8 (75%) · FCG 5 of 5 (100%)75.8%

FC Samtredia scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Gori conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 88% · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at FC Gori's level · FC Gori: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level

Left off the list: FC Samtredia or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); FC Samtredia or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Samtredia or Draw (1UP) (no result call); FC Samtredia 1UP (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); FC Samtredia (Draw No Bet) (no result call); FC Samtredia or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.6%

FC Gori goals →

FC Samtredia goals ↓

0-07%

1-08%

2-06%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-18%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-41.0%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.3%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC GORILWDLDWWLLW1.40 PPG

FC SAMTREDIALWLWLWWWWW2.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC GORI HOMExFC SAMTREDIA AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.761.28CONCEDED A GAME1.4170%BOTH SCORED20%0%CLEAN SHEETS60%4.58CORNERS A GAME5.002.27CARDS A GAME2.31

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.40POINTS A GAME2.33+0.30GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+2.22+1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+5.31.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.810LEAGUE GAMES9

FC Samtredia: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

FC SAMTREDIA 0:2 HANDICAP

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373 OF 433

PRICE NOT KEPT

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

66%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

67%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

70%

NO · 85/90

FC GORI OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

FC SAMTREDIA OR DRAW

52%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC GORIxFC SAMTREDIA

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME2.801.40CONCEDED A GAME0.602.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

FC Gori have scored in 70% of their games.

FC Samtredia have scored in 80% of their games.

FC Gori kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

FC Samtredia kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards