Match details. 3. Division, Group 1. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Ullern have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W. Nordstrand have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W.
The numbers. Ullern score two and concede three a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Ullern average 5.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Nordstrand score 0.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Nordstrand average 5.1 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
The case against. Nordstrand's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. Ullern to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Ullern the likelier winners; Ullern are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ullern. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Ullern 2-1 Nordstrand (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Ullern or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ULL 5 of 5 (100%) · NOR 5 of 5 (100%)100%
Ullern: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Nordstrand: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Ullern: only games against sides at Nordstrand's level · Nordstrand: only games against sides at Ullern's level
Ullern or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
ULL 4 of 5 (80%) · NOR 5 of 5 (100%)88.1%
Ullern: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Nordstrand: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · Ullern: only games against sides at Nordstrand's level · Nordstrand: only games against sides at Ullern's level
Ullern or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ULL 4 of 5 (80%) · NOR 4 of 5 (80%)83.1%
Ullern: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Nordstrand: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · Ullern: only games against sides at Nordstrand's level · Nordstrand: only games against sides at Ullern's level
Ullern (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
ULL 2 of 5 (40%) · NOR 7 of 8 (88%)70%
Ullern won 2 of 5 at home (draws left out) · Nordstrand lost 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 64% · Ullern: only games against sides at Nordstrand's level · Nordstrand: only games against sides at Ullern's level · won 6, refunded 1, lost 3
Ullern or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ULL 3 of 5 (60%) · NOR 3 of 5 (60%)69.2%
Ullern scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · Nordstrand trailed or failed to win in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Ullern: only games against sides at Nordstrand's level · Nordstrand: only games against sides at Ullern's level
Ullern 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ULL 3 of 5 (60%) · NOR 3 of 5 (60%)65%
Ullern scored first 1 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 at home · Nordstrand trailed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Ullern: only games against sides at Nordstrand's level · Nordstrand: only games against sides at Ullern's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ULL 5 of 5 (100%) · NOR 5 of 5 (100%)93.3%
Ullern: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Nordstrand: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Ullern: only games against sides at Nordstrand's level · Nordstrand: only games against sides at Ullern's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ULL 5 of 5 (100%) · NOR 2 of 5 (40%)77.3%
Ullern: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Nordstrand: over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · Ullern: only games against sides at Nordstrand's level · Nordstrand: only games against sides at Ullern's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 80%
1.25
ULL 4 of 5 (80%) · NOR 1 of 5 (20%)52.8%
Ullern: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Nordstrand: over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5 away · both last 10: 67% · Ullern: only games against sides at Nordstrand's level · Nordstrand: only games against sides at Ullern's level
ULLERN GOALS
Ullern Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ULL 4 of 5 (80%) · NOR 5 of 5 (100%)80.9%
Ullern scored in 4 of 5 at home · Nordstrand conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · Ullern: only games against sides at Nordstrand's level · Nordstrand: only games against sides at Ullern's level
Left off the list: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.5%
Ullern goals →
Nordstrand goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-08%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
ULLERNLLWLWLLWWL1.20 PPG
NORDSTRANDLLLLWDLLLL0.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ULLERN HOMExNORDSTRAND AWAY
1.79SCORED A GAME1.502.58CONCEDED A GAME2.2580%BOTH SCORED40%0%CLEAN SHEETS10%5.86CORNERS A GAME5.091.95CARDS A GAME1.50
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.09POINTS A GAME0.64-0.82GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.91-3.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.41.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.611LEAGUE GAMES11
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
75%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 85/90
ULLERN OR DRAW
60%
NO · 80/85
NORDSTRAND OR DRAW
51%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ULLERNxNORDSTRAND
6GAMES61.83SCORED A GAME1.003.00CONCEDED A GAME2.174.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS50%83%OVER 2.5 GOALS33%83%BOTH SCORE50%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Ullern have scored in 80% of their games.
Nordstrand have scored in 50% of their games.
Ullern kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Nordstrand kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards