CCCDC

22:00Sat 24 Oct

CDG

CD Choloma vs CD Genesis PN

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Liga Nacional, Apertura - 11. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 22:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Ruben Deras.

What's at stake. CD Choloma are 9th on 10 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Génesis, level on points with Atletico Independiente. A win would take them above Génesis. CD Genesis PN are 8th on 11 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Lobos Upnfm, 1 point clear of Atlético Choloma. A win would take them above Lobos Upnfm.

Form. CD Choloma have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D. In this competition CD Choloma have gone W L W L D L. CD Genesis PN have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W. In this competition CD Genesis PN have gone L L D L W L.

The numbers. CD Choloma score 0.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. CD Choloma average 4.8 corners and 3.4 cards a game. CD Genesis PN score 1.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. CD Genesis PN average 6.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last five meetings CD Choloma have won one, drawn one and lost three. Two of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, one was drawn and CD Genesis PN won three. The last time they met, on 1 Aug 2026, it finished CD Choloma 0-2 CD Genesis PN.

The case against. CD Choloma's record still gives them 35% to win.

The read. CD Genesis PN to win. A tight game. CD Genesis PN are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Genesis PN; the meetings favour CD Genesis PN. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%. Three of the last five meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Choloma 0-1 CD Genesis PN (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

CD Genesis PN or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.29

CDC 8 of 10 (80%) · CDG 9 of 10 (90%)79.6%

CD Genesis PN: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Choloma: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 5 · CD Genesis PN: only games against sides at CD Choloma's level · CD Choloma: only games against sides at CD Genesis PN's level

CD Genesis PN or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDC 4 of 5 (80%) · CDG 6 of 7 (86%)75.2%

CD Genesis PN scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CD Choloma trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues)

CD Genesis PN or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.83

CDC 7 of 10 (70%) · CDG 5 of 10 (50%)63.1%

CD Choloma: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Genesis PN: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 4 of 5 · CD Choloma: only games against sides at CD Genesis PN's level · CD Genesis PN: only games against sides at CD Choloma's level

CD Genesis PN 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDC 3 of 5 (60%) · CDG 5 of 7 (71%)57.1%

CD Genesis PN scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CD Choloma trailed in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues)

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.12

CDC 10 of 10 (100%) · CDG 10 of 10 (100%)100%

CD Choloma: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Genesis PN: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 5 · CD Choloma: only games against sides at CD Genesis PN's level · CD Genesis PN: only games against sides at CD Choloma's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CDC 10 of 10 (100%) · CDG 10 of 10 (100%)100%

CD Choloma: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Genesis PN: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 5 of 5 · CD Choloma: only games against sides at CD Genesis PN's level · CD Genesis PN: only games against sides at CD Choloma's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.70

CDC 6 of 10 (60%) · CDG 6 of 10 (60%)58.8%

CD Choloma: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Genesis PN: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · H2H 3 of 5 · CD Choloma: only games against sides at CD Genesis PN's level · CD Genesis PN: only games against sides at CD Choloma's level

CD GENESIS PN GOALS

CD Genesis PN Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.26

CDC 6 of 10 (60%) · CDG 7 of 10 (70%)66.4%

CD Genesis PN scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · CD Choloma conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 5 · CD Genesis PN: only games against sides at CD Choloma's level · CD Choloma: only games against sides at CD Genesis PN's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 14.2%

CD Choloma goals →

CD Genesis PN goals ↓

0-015%

1-012%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-114%

1-114%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.4%

5-10.1%

0-28%

1-27%

2-23%

3-21.0%

4-20.2%

5-20.0%

0-33%

1-33%

2-31%

3-30.4%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-40.8%

1-40.7%

2-40.3%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CD CHOLOMALLLWLDLWLW1.00 PPG

CD GENESIS PNWLWDLWLDLL1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CD CHOLOMA HOMExCD GENESIS PN AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.101.10CONCEDED A GAME0.9030%CLEAN SHEETS40%40%FAILED TO SCORE40%4.80CORNERS A GAME6.293.40CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

649 OF 684

NO PRICE YET

The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5

CD CHOLOMA 1 · 20%DRAW 1CD GENESIS PN 3 · 60%

2 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS

2025-08-24CD Choloma 2 – 1 CD Genesis PN

2025-11-02CD Choloma 0 – 1 CD Genesis PN

2026-02-01CD Choloma 0 – 0 CD Genesis PN

2026-03-25CD Choloma 1 – 2 CD Genesis PN

2026-08-01CD Choloma 0 – 2 CD Genesis PN

TRENDS

CD Choloma have scored in 60% of their games.

CD Genesis PN have scored in 60% of their games.

CD Choloma kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

CD Genesis PN kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards