Gor Mahia FC vs Bandari FC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 3. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:15 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Gor Mahia FC are 1st on 6 points after 2 games, 2 points clear of Mara Sugar. Bandari FC are 12th on 2 points after 2 games, level on points with Nairobi United, 1 point clear of Migori Youth. A win would take them above Nairobi United.
Form. Gor Mahia FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. In this competition Gor Mahia FC have gone W W L D W. Bandari FC have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L W. In this competition Bandari FC have gone D D L W L D.
The numbers. Gor Mahia FC score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Gor Mahia FC average 8.8 shots (2.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Bandari FC score 1.3 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Bandari FC average 11.3 shots (3.2 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Gor Mahia FC have won five, drawn two and lost two. One of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Gor Mahia FC won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2026, it finished Gor Mahia FC 0-0 Bandari FC.
The case against. Bandari FC's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Gor Mahia FC to win. A tight game. Gor Mahia FC are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Gor Mahia FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 24%. Eight of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Gor Mahia FC or Draw at 1.11, 80% on the records (Gor Mahia FC unbeaten in 4 of 5; Bandari FC failed to win 7 of 8). Leave: Gor Mahia FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Gor Mahia FC 1-0 Bandari FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).