Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 3. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Migori Youth FC are 13th on 1 point after 1 game, 1 point behind Bandari, level on points with Kenya Police. A win would take them above Bandari. Mathare United FC are 15th on 1 point after 2 games, level on points with Kenya Police, level on points with APS Bomet. A win would take them above Kenya Police.
Form. Migori Youth FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W. In this competition Migori Youth FC have gone D. Mathare United FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W. In this competition Mathare United FC have gone L D W L W L.
The numbers. Migori Youth FC score 1.8 and concede 0.5 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Migori Youth FC average 12.7 shots (4.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Mathare United FC score 0.9 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. Mathare United FC average 7.9 shots (3.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Migori Youth FC have won none, drawn one and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. The last time they met, on 6 Apr 2024, it finished Migori Youth FC 0-2 Mathare United FC.
The read. Migori Youth FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Migori Youth FC the likelier winners; Migori Youth FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Migori Youth FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. Best bet: Migori Youth FC or Draw at 1.32, 83% on the records (Migori Youth FC unbeaten in 6 of 6 at home; Mathare United FC failed to win 7 of 10). The safer one: Mathare United FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.27 (90%). Backup: Migori Youth FC or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Migori Youth FC Over 0.5 goals (Mathare United FC's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Migori Youth FC to Win (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Migori Youth FC 1-0 Mathare United FC (15% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).