Match details. Primera B. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. CA Talleres de Remedios have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W D. CS Dock Sud have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W D.
The numbers. CA Talleres de Remedios score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. CA Talleres de Remedios average 5.3 corners and 2.6 cards a game. CS Dock Sud score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CS Dock Sud average 4.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make CA Talleres de Remedios the likelier winners, but CA Talleres de Remedios are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CS Dock Sud.
The case against. CS Dock Sud's record still gives them 45% to win.
The read. CA Talleres de Remedios or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CA Talleres de Remedios the likelier winners; CA Talleres de Remedios are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CS Dock Sud. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.25, 74% on the records (CA Talleres de Remedios: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; CS Dock Sud: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: CA Talleres de Remedios Over 0.5 Goals at 1.22. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA Talleres de Remedios 1-1 CS Dock Sud (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).