Eastern Suburbs AFC vs Miramar Rangers
Match details. National League. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time.
Form. Eastern Suburbs AFC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D. Miramar Rangers have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D D.
The numbers. Eastern Suburbs AFC score 3.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Miramar Rangers score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets.
The case against. Eastern Suburbs AFC's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Miramar Rangers to win. An open game. Miramar Rangers are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Miramar Rangers or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (Miramar Rangers are a clear winner, no Unders); Eastern Suburbs AFC Under 1.5 goals (Eastern Suburbs AFC's own games don't back it (1 of 5)). Predicted score: Eastern Suburbs AFC 1-2 Miramar Rangers (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).