CD Provincial Ovalle FC vs General Velasquez
Match details. Segunda Division. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Provincial Ovalle FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D D. General Velasquez have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D D.
The numbers. CD Provincial Ovalle FC score 1.2 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. CD Provincial Ovalle FC average 10.3 shots (6.3 on target), 6.0 corners and 4.3 cards a game. General Velasquez score 0.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. General Velasquez average 11.7 shots (7.0 on target), 6.1 corners and 3.4 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CD Provincial Ovalle FC 1-1 General Velasquez (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (General Velasquez the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).