Atletico Colina vs Santiago Morning
Match details. Segunda Division. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.
Form. Atletico Colina have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D. Santiago Morning have won one, drawn six and lost three of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D D.
The numbers. Atletico Colina score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Atletico Colina average 14.2 shots (5.2 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Santiago Morning score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Santiago Morning average 10.4 shots (4.4 on target), 5.5 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.34, rated 75% (Atletico Colina: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10; Santiago Morning: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Predicted score: Atletico Colina 2-1 Santiago Morning (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Atletico Colina the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).