Wexford Youths AFC vs Waterford FC
Match details. Premier Division, Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Wexford Youths AFC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L. Waterford FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. Wexford Youths AFC score 2.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Wexford Youths AFC average 4.6 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Waterford FC score 1.3 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Waterford FC average 3.4 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 88% against the records' 60%.
The read. No firm call: Wexford Youths AFC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Wexford Youths AFC the likelier winners; Wexford Youths AFC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Wexford Youths AFC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.40, rated 78% (Wexford Youths AFC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Waterford FC: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10). Predicted score: Wexford Youths AFC 2-1 Waterford FC (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Wexford Youths AFC the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Waterford FC in their last cup games: won 2-0 at Bohemians Dublin FC, won 3-0 v Sligo Rovers FC. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).