Match details. Primera Division, Apertura - 17. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 22:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. CD Aguila San Miguel are 5th on 24 points after 16 games, 2 points behind Inter, 2 points clear of Platense. A win would take them above Inter. CD FAS Santa Ana are 2nd on 31 points after 16 games, level on points with Firpo, 1 point clear of Isidro Metapán. A win would take them above Firpo.
Form. CD Aguila San Miguel have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L. In this competition CD Aguila San Miguel have gone D W W W L W. CD FAS Santa Ana have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W D. In this competition CD FAS Santa Ana have gone D L W W D W.
The numbers. CD Aguila San Miguel score three and concede one a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. CD Aguila San Miguel average 4.6 corners and 2.5 cards a game. CD FAS Santa Ana score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. CD FAS Santa Ana average 5.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CD Aguila San Miguel have won three, drawn two and lost five. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, CD Aguila San Miguel won one and CD FAS Santa Ana won three. The last time they met, on 23 Aug 2026, it finished CD Aguila San Miguel 0-1 CD FAS Santa Ana.
The case against. CD FAS Santa Ana's record still gives them 45% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. CD Aguila San Miguel or the draw. An open game. Both teams' records favour CD FAS Santa Ana; the meetings favour CD FAS Santa Ana. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.28, 75% on the records (CD Aguila San Miguel: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home; CD FAS Santa Ana: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). Leave: CD Aguila San Miguel or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); CD Aguila San Miguel Over 0.5 Goals (CD FAS Santa Ana's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CD Aguila San Miguel 2-1 CD FAS Santa Ana (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).