Match details. Primera Division, Apertura - 17. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 22:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Alianza FC San Salvador are 7th on 20 points after 15 games, 2 points behind Platense, level on points with Municipal Limeño. A win would take them above Platense. AD Isidro Metapan are 3rd on 30 points after 16 games, 1 point behind FAS, 4 points clear of Inter. A win would take them above FAS.
Form. Alianza FC San Salvador have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D W. In this competition Alianza FC San Salvador have gone D D L D W D. AD Isidro Metapan have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W. In this competition AD Isidro Metapan have gone D W L W W D.
The numbers. Alianza FC San Salvador score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last seven at home, with one clean sheet. Alianza FC San Salvador average 4.9 corners and 2.6 cards a game. AD Isidro Metapan score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. AD Isidro Metapan average 5.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Alianza FC San Salvador have won three, drawn two and lost four. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Alianza FC San Salvador won one, two were drawn and AD Isidro Metapan won one. The last time they met, on 23 Aug 2026, it finished Alianza FC San Salvador 0-2 AD Isidro Metapan.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%; six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Alianza FC San Salvador 1-1 AD Isidro Metapan (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).