AFATL

21:00Sat 24 Oct

VEG

Atlantico FC vs Vega Real

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Liga Mayor, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Atlantico FC are 8th on 0 points after 11 games, 5 points behind Jarabacoa. Vega Real are 3rd on 17 points after 11 games, 4 points behind Cibao, 1 point clear of Delfines Del Este. Atlantico FC have nothing left to play for, while Vega Real need the win.

Form. Atlantico FC have won none, drawn one and lost nine of their last ten, 0.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. In this competition Atlantico FC have gone L L D L L L. Vega Real have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. In this competition Vega Real have gone D L W W W L.

The numbers. Atlantico FC score 0.9 and concede 3.7 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Vega Real score 1.4 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Atlantico FC have won five, drawn one and lost four. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Atlantico FC won two and Vega Real won two. The last time they met, on 12 Sep 2026, it finished Atlantico FC 0-5 Vega Real.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Atlantico FC's record still gives them 28% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.

The read. Vega Real to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Vega Real the likelier winners; Vega Real are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Vega Real. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Vega Real or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Atlantico FC 0-2 Vega Real (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Vega Real to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.29

ATL 5 of 10 (50%) · VEG 9 of 10 (90%)60.8%

Vega Real won 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Atlantico FC lost 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 2 of 6 · Vega Real: only games against sides at Atlantico FC's level · Atlantico FC: only games against sides at Vega Real's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATL 8 of 10 (80%) · VEG 10 of 10 (100%)92.5%

Atlantico FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Vega Real: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · Atlantico FC: only games against sides at Vega Real's level · Vega Real: only games against sides at Atlantico FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.33

ATL 5 of 10 (50%) · VEG 9 of 10 (90%)73.3%

Atlantico FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Vega Real: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · Atlantico FC: only games against sides at Vega Real's level · Vega Real: only games against sides at Atlantico FC's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Vega Real or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Vega Real Over 0.5 Goals (the numbers (93%) and the records (69%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it); Vega Real or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Vega Real Over 1.5 Goals (Vega Real's own games don't back it (3 of 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–2 10%

Atlantico FC goals →

Vega Real goals ↓

0-03%

1-02%

2-01%

3-00.3%

4-00.1%

5-00.0%

0-17%

1-17%

2-13%

3-10.9%

4-10.2%

5-10.0%

0-210%

1-29%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.0%

0-39%

1-38%

2-34%

3-31%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-46%

1-45%

2-42%

3-40.7%

4-40.2%

5-40.0%

0-53%

1-53%

2-51%

3-50.4%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

ATLANTICO FCLLLLLLLDLL0.10 PPG

VEGA REALWLLWLWWWLD1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ATLANTICO FC HOMExVEGA REAL AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.403.70CONCEDED A GAME0.900%CLEAN SHEETS40%36%FAILED TO SCORE36%

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

ATLANTICO FC 5 · 50%DRAW 1VEGA REAL 4 · 40%

1 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-05-14Atlantico FC 3 – 0 Vega Real

2023-08-12Atlantico FC 0 – 1 Vega Real

2023-09-23Atlantico FC 1 – 0 Vega Real

2024-04-21Atlantico FC 1 – 2 Vega Real

2024-05-26Atlantico FC 1 – 0 Vega Real

2024-07-06Atlantico FC 0 – 0 Vega Real

2025-03-16Atlantico FC 1 – 0 Vega Real

2025-08-30Atlantico FC 0 – 1 Vega Real

TRENDS

Atlantico FC failed to score in 36% of their games.

Vega Real failed to score in 36% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table