Dakar Sacre Coeur vs US Goree
Match details. Ligue 1. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time.
Form. Dakar Sacre Coeur have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L. US Goree have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W L.
The numbers. Dakar Sacre Coeur score 0.7 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Dakar Sacre Coeur average 11.3 shots (5.3 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.7 cards a game. US Goree score 0.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. US Goree average 9.4 shots (4.2 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: US Goree or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); US Goree Over 0.5 Goals (US Goree's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: Dakar Sacre Coeur 0-0 US Goree (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).