ADASC

18:00Sat 24 Oct

HLM

HLM

ASC Diambars vs Hlm

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 2. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. ASC Diambars are 4th on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Guédiawaye, 2 points clear of Casa Sport. A win would take them above Guédiawaye. Hlm are 6th on 1 point after 1 game, level on points with Casa Sport, level on points with Jaraaf. A win would take them above Casa Sport.

Form. ASC Diambars have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. In this competition ASC Diambars have gone W L L W L D. Hlm have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L D. In this competition Hlm have gone D W D L D D.

The numbers. ASC Diambars score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Hlm score 0.9 and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Hlm average 9.7 shots (4.7 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: ASC Diambars 0-0 Hlm (15% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASC 6 of 8 (75%) · HLM 10 of 10 (100%)87.5%

ASC Diambars: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hlm: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · ASC Diambars: only games against sides at Hlm's level · Hlm: only games against sides at ASC Diambars's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASC 6 of 8 (75%) · HLM 10 of 10 (100%)87.5%

ASC Diambars: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hlm: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · ASC Diambars: only games against sides at Hlm's level · Hlm: only games against sides at ASC Diambars's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASC 7 of 8 (88%) · HLM 9 of 10 (90%)88.8%

ASC Diambars: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hlm: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · on half-time scores · ASC Diambars: only games against sides at Hlm's level · Hlm: only games against sides at ASC Diambars's level

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ASC 6 of 8 (75%) · HLM 8 of 10 (80%)77.5%

ASC Diambars: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hlm: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · on half-time scores · ASC Diambars: only games against sides at Hlm's level · Hlm: only games against sides at ASC Diambars's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–0 14.9%

ASC Diambars goals →

Hlm goals ↓

0-015%

1-012%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-114%

1-114%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.4%

5-10.1%

0-28%

1-27%

2-23%

3-21.0%

4-20.2%

5-20.0%

0-33%

1-32%

2-31%

3-30.3%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-40.7%

1-40.7%

2-40.3%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

ASC DIAMBARSLWDLWLLLWW1.30 PPG

HLMLDLWDDLDWD1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ASC DIAMBARS HOMExHLM AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME0.902.00CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS20%

TRENDS

ASC Diambars have scored in 60% of their games.

Hlm have scored in 60% of their games.

ASC Diambars kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Hlm kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague table