Zesco United vs Mutondo Stars
Match details. Super League, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Zesco United are 1st on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Nchanga Rangers. Mutondo Stars are 9th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Makeni All Stars.
Form. Zesco United have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D W W. Mutondo Stars have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W.
The numbers. Zesco United score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Zesco United average 13.0 shots (4.5 on target), 9.8 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Mutondo Stars score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Mutondo Stars average 8.8 shots (3.8 on target), 2.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Zesco United have won three, drawn one and lost two. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, Zesco United won two and Mutondo Stars won two. The last time they met, on 5 Mar 2026, it finished Zesco United 0-1 Mutondo Stars.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 67% against the records' 45%.
The read. No firm call: Zesco United are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Zesco United the likelier winners; Zesco United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Zesco United. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Zesco United Over 0.5 Goals (Zesco United's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Zesco United 1-1 Mutondo Stars (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).