Match details. Parva Liga, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Bistritsa Stadium, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. FC CSKA 1948 are 4th on 25 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Ludogorets, 6 points clear of Botev Plovdiv. A win would take them above Ludogorets. FK Spartak 1918 Varna are 7th on 13 points after 12 games, 5 points behind Arda Kardzhali, 1 point clear of Slavia Sofia.
Form. FC CSKA 1948 have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. FK Spartak 1918 Varna have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D.
The numbers. FC CSKA 1948 score 2.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC CSKA 1948 average 12.0 shots (6.7 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. FK Spartak 1918 Varna score 0.9 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. FK Spartak 1918 Varna average 3.2 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings FC CSKA 1948 have won four, drawn five and lost none. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, FC CSKA 1948 won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 17 Jul 2026, it finished FC CSKA 1948 2-2 FK Spartak 1918 Varna: FC CSKA 1948 had 14 shots to 12, 71% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 71% against the records' 48%.
The read. No firm call: FC CSKA 1948 are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make FC CSKA 1948 the likelier winners; FC CSKA 1948 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC CSKA 1948; the meetings favour FC CSKA 1948. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%. Five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC CSKA 1948 or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 4.5 Goals (FC CSKA 1948 are a clear winner, no Unders); FC CSKA 1948 Over 1.5 goals (FK Spartak 1918 Varna's own games don't back it (3 of 9)). Predicted score: FC CSKA 1948 1-0 FK Spartak 1918 Varna (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).