Viking FK vs Grei Kvinner Elite FK
Match details. 1st Division, Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Viking FK have won five, drawn two and lost one of their last eight league games, 2.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W W W. Grei Kvinner Elite FK have won five, drawn one and lost two of their last eight league games, 2.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W W D.
The numbers. Viking FK score 2.5 and concede 1.1 a game over their last eight, with four clean sheets. Viking FK average 7.5 corners and 0.9 cards a game. Grei Kvinner Elite FK score 2.1 and concede 2.6 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Grei Kvinner Elite FK average 3.7 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 91% against the records' 44%.
The read. No firm call: Viking FK are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Viking FK the likelier winners; Viking FK are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Viking FK 3-1 Grei Kvinner Elite FK (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Viking FK the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Viking FK in their last cup games: won 3-0 at Madla (3 divisions below), won 3-1 at Brodd (3 divisions below). Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).