Match details. 1st Division, Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. Frigg Oslo FK have won two, drawn one and lost six of their last nine league games, 0.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L L L. Troemso IL have won two, drawn two and lost four of their last eight league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L L D.
The numbers. Frigg Oslo FK score 0.8 and concede 2.7 a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Frigg Oslo FK average 2.4 corners and 0.8 cards a game. Troemso IL score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Troemso IL average 4.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 79% against the records' 46%.
The read. No firm call: Troemso IL are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Troemso IL the likelier winners; Troemso IL are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Troemso IL. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Frigg Oslo FK 1-2 Troemso IL (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Troemso IL the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).