Match details. Challenge League. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Pieta Hotspurs FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D. Vittoriosa Stars have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D L.
The numbers. Pieta Hotspurs FC score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Pieta Hotspurs FC average 10.9 shots (3.8 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Vittoriosa Stars score 1.1 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Vittoriosa Stars average 12.0 shots (4.6 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, 77% on the records (Pieta Hotspurs FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Vittoriosa Stars: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10). Leave: Pieta Hotspurs FC or Both Teams Score (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Pieta Hotspurs FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Pieta Hotspurs FC 1-2 Vittoriosa Stars (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).