Leaper vs Supreme FC
Match details. 1. Division. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 08:30 Lagos time.
Form. Leaper have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. Supreme FC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. Leaper score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Leaper average 9.2 shots (4.4 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Supreme FC score 2.1 and concede 2.9 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Supreme FC average 12.1 shots (6.0 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Leaper the likelier winners, but Supreme FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Supreme FC.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Supreme FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Supreme FC or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: Leaper 2-1 Supreme FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).