Southern United vs Canterbury United Pride
Match details. National League, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.
Form. Southern United have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Canterbury United Pride have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W.
The numbers. Southern United score 2.2 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Canterbury United Pride score 0.8 and concede 3.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.
The case against. Canterbury United Pride's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Southern United to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Southern United the likelier winners; Southern United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Southern United. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 87%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Southern United 2-1 Canterbury United Pride (8% chance).
The agreed story. Southern United or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).