Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Colegios Diocesanos have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. CD Palencia Cristo Atletico have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. CD Colegios Diocesanos score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. CD Colegios Diocesanos average 4.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game. CD Palencia Cristo Atletico score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CD Palencia Cristo Atletico average 11.0 shots (4.0 on target), 6.2 corners and 3.5 cards a game.
The case against. CD Colegios Diocesanos's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. CD Palencia Cristo Atletico to win. A tight game. CD Palencia Cristo Atletico are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Palencia Cristo Atletico. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or CD Palencia Cristo Atletico at 1.16, 73% on the records (CD Palencia Cristo Atletico unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; CD Colegios Diocesanos failed to win 3 of 5 at home). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.24. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CD Palencia Cristo Atletico or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CD Palencia Cristo Atletico (Draw No Bet) (the signs point different ways); CD Palencia Cristo Atletico to Win (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: CD Colegios Diocesanos 0-1 CD Palencia Cristo Atletico (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).