Match details. Liga 3. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. CS Sporting Liesti have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. ACS Recolta Gheorghe Doja have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.
The numbers. CS Sporting Liesti score 3.3 and concede two a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. CS Sporting Liesti average 7.8 shots (3.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game. ACS Recolta Gheorghe Doja score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. ACS Recolta Gheorghe Doja average 4.5 corners and 5.0 cards a game.
The case against. ACS Recolta Gheorghe Doja's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. CS Sporting Liesti to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CS Sporting Liesti the likelier winners; CS Sporting Liesti are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CS Sporting Liesti. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 81%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: ACS Recolta Gheorghe Doja or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs CS Sporting Liesti); CS Sporting Liesti Over 0.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CS Sporting Liesti 2-1 ACS Recolta Gheorghe Doja (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).