Match details. 1st Division, Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. IK Start have won seven, drawn one and lost one of their last nine league games, 2.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D W W. FK Fyllingsdalen have won five, drawn none and lost three of their last eight league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W L L W.
The numbers. IK Start score 2.8 and concede 0.7 a game over their last nine, with six clean sheets and two games without a goal. IK Start average 5.3 corners and 0.4 cards a game. FK Fyllingsdalen score 1.9 and concede 1.8 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FK Fyllingsdalen average 5.4 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
The case against. FK Fyllingsdalen's record still gives them 37% to win.
The read. IK Start to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make IK Start the likelier winners; IK Start are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour IK Start. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.45, rated 71% (IK Start: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 9; FK Fyllingsdalen: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 8). Predicted score: IK Start 2-1 FK Fyllingsdalen (9% chance).
The agreed story. IK Start or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. IK Start in their last cup games: won 5-1 at Raufoss IL, won 3-2 at Vindbjart FK (3 divisions below). Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).