Match details. U19 Division de Honor Juvenil. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 11:30 Lagos time.
Form. RCD Mallorca have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D W. Elche CF U19 have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W.
The numbers. RCD Mallorca score 2.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. RCD Mallorca average 12.2 shots (7.0 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Elche CF U19 score 2.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Elche CF U19 average 11.7 shots (5.7 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. RCD Mallorca's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. Elche CF U19 to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Elche CF U19 the likelier winners; Elche CF U19 are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 75% on the records (RCD Mallorca: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6; Elche CF U19: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: RCD Mallorca or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Elche CF U19); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); RCD Mallorca or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Elche CF U19). Predicted score: RCD Mallorca 1-2 Elche CF U19 (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).