PFC Nasaf vs PFC Sogdiana
Match details. Superliga, Regular Season - 25. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Markaziy Stadium, Qarshi. The referee is S. Nasibullayev.
What's at stake. PFC Nasaf are 7th on 38 points after 24 games, 1 point behind Lokomotiv, 5 points clear of Qizilqum. A win would take them above Lokomotiv. PFC Sogdiana are 11th on 29 points after 24 games, 1 point behind Dinamo Samarqand, level on points with Surkhon. A win would take them above Dinamo Samarqand.
Form. PFC Nasaf have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W. In this competition PFC Nasaf have gone D W W W W L. PFC Sogdiana have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D W. In this competition PFC Sogdiana have gone D L L D W L.
The numbers. PFC Nasaf score 2.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. PFC Nasaf average 5.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game. PFC Sogdiana score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. PFC Sogdiana average 4.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings PFC Nasaf have won five, drawn three and lost two. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, PFC Nasaf won three and PFC Sogdiana won one. The last time they met, on 6 Mar 2026, it finished PFC Nasaf 2-0 PFC Sogdiana.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 67% against the records' 42%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The read. No firm call: PFC Nasaf are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make PFC Nasaf the likelier winners; PFC Nasaf are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour PFC Nasaf. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: PFC Nasaf 1-1 PFC Sogdiana (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).