Match details. Thai League 2, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Insee Chantarasatit Stadium.
What's at stake. Kasetsart FC are 18th on 4 points after 7 games, level on points with Mahasarakham United. A win would take them above Mahasarakham United. Satun United FC are 5th on 11 points after 7 games, level on points with Nong Bua Pitchaya, 1 point clear of Kanchanaburi. A win would take them above Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Form. Kasetsart FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. Satun United FC have won three, drawn two and lost two of their last seven, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L W. In this competition Satun United FC have gone D D W L W W.
The numbers. Kasetsart FC score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Kasetsart FC average 5.9 shots (1.7 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Satun United FC score 1.9 and concede 1.4 a game over their last seven, with three clean sheets. Satun United FC average 8.9 shots (3.7 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The case against. Kasetsart FC's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. Satun United FC to win. An open game. Satun United FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Satun United FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Satun United FC (Draw No Bet) (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Kasetsart FC 1-2 Satun United FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).