Match details. WE League, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 05:00 Lagos time.
Form. RB Omiya Ardija have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L. Cerezo Osaka Sakai Ladies have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W.
The numbers. RB Omiya Ardija score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. RB Omiya Ardija average 11.2 shots (5.8 on target), 3.6 corners and 0.6 cards a game. Cerezo Osaka Sakai Ladies score 1.7 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Cerezo Osaka Sakai Ladies average 7.5 shots (3.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 0.3 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: RB Omiya Ardija 1-2 Cerezo Osaka Sakai Ladies (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Cerezo Osaka Sakai Ladies the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. RB Omiya Ardija in their last cup games: lost 2-3 at Urawa Red Diamonds (a division above), lost 1-3 at Gainare Tottori (a division below), won 2-0 v Vanraure Hachinohe FC. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).