Match details. Primera Division. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time.
Form. San Marcos FC have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. Indigenas de Matagalpa FC have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W.
The numbers. San Marcos FC score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. San Marcos FC average 4.4 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Indigenas de Matagalpa FC score 0.7 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Indigenas de Matagalpa FC average 4.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The case against. Indigenas de Matagalpa FC's record still gives them 47% to win.
The read. San Marcos FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make San Marcos FC the likelier winners; San Marcos FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour San Marcos FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: San Marcos FC 2-1 Indigenas de Matagalpa FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).