Match details. Liga Femenina. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Melgar have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. Carlos A Mannucci have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L.
The numbers. FC Melgar score 3.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. FC Melgar average 3.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Carlos A Mannucci score 0.8 and concede 4.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Carlos A Mannucci average 1.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The case against. Carlos A Mannucci's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. FC Melgar to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Melgar the likelier winners; FC Melgar are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Melgar. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 87%.
The bets. Best bet: FC Melgar to win at 1.32, 73% on the records (FC Melgar won 4 of 5 at home; Carlos A Mannucci lost 4 of 5 away). Leave: FC Melgar Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); FC Melgar or Draw & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); FC Melgar (Draw No Bet) (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: FC Melgar 3-0 Carlos A Mannucci (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).