Serrano FC RJ vs EC Nova Cidade RJ
Match details. Carioca, Serie B1. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Serrano FC RJ have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W W D. EC Nova Cidade RJ have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D W D L.
The numbers. Serrano FC RJ score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Serrano FC RJ average 11.3 shots (5.0 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.4 cards a game. EC Nova Cidade RJ score one and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. EC Nova Cidade RJ average 10.4 shots (4.1 on target), 6.1 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Serrano FC RJ 1-1 EC Nova Cidade RJ (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Serrano FC RJ the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).