THE READ
Match details. Carioca, Serie B1. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Campo Grande AC RJ have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L D D. Niteroiense have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten league games, 2.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W W W.
The numbers. Campo Grande AC RJ score 0.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. Campo Grande AC RJ average 10.6 shots (3.9 on target), 4.5 corners and 3.6 cards a game. Niteroiense score 1.7 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Niteroiense average 10.7 shots (4.6 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
The case against. Campo Grande AC RJ's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Niteroiense to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Niteroiense the likelier winners; Niteroiense are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Niteroiense. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Niteroiense at 1.23, rated 80% (Niteroiense unbeaten in 9 of 10; Campo Grande AC RJ failed to win 7 of 10). The safer one: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20 (85%). Predicted score: Campo Grande AC RJ 0-1 Niteroiense (16% chance).
The agreed story. Niteroiense or the draw, a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Niteroiense or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
NIT 5 of 5 (100%) · CAM 8 of 8 (100%)96.2%
Niteroiense scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Campo Grande AC RJ trailed or failed to win in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Campo Grande AC RJ's level · Campo Grande AC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
Double Chance: Draw or NiteroienseMAININ CODES
1.23
NIT 9 of 10 (90%) · CAM 7 of 10 (70%)81%
Niteroiense unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Campo Grande AC RJ failed to win 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Campo Grande AC RJ's level · Campo Grande AC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
Niteroiense (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.41
NIT 7 of 8 (88%) · CAM 4 of 7 (57%)73.3%
Niteroiense won 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Campo Grande AC RJ lost 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 72% · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Campo Grande AC RJ's level · Campo Grande AC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · won 3, refunded 2, lost 3
Niteroiense or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NIT 10 of 10 (100%) · CAM 9 of 10 (90%)70.7%
Niteroiense: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Campo Grande AC RJ: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Campo Grande AC RJ's level · Campo Grande AC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
no price yet
NIT 5 of 5 (100%) · CAM 7 of 8 (88%)63.5%
Niteroiense scored first 5 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Campo Grande AC RJ trailed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Campo Grande AC RJ's level · Campo Grande AC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
Niteroiense to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.91
NIT 7 of 10 (70%) · CAM 4 of 10 (40%)37%
Niteroiense won 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Campo Grande AC RJ lost 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Campo Grande AC RJ's level · Campo Grande AC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
GOALS
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CAM 10 of 10 (100%) · NIT 9 of 10 (90%)96%
Campo Grande AC RJ: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Niteroiense: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Campo Grande AC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Campo Grande AC RJ's level
no price yet
CAM 9 of 10 (90%) · NIT 9 of 10 (90%)91%
Campo Grande AC RJ: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Niteroiense: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Campo Grande AC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Campo Grande AC RJ's level
Under 3.5 GoalsSAFERIN CODES
1.19
CAM 9 of 10 (90%) · NIT 8 of 10 (80%)86%
Campo Grande AC RJ: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Niteroiense: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Campo Grande AC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Campo Grande AC RJ's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.59
CAM 6 of 10 (60%) · NIT 7 of 10 (70%)47%
Campo Grande AC RJ: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Niteroiense: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Campo Grande AC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Campo Grande AC RJ's level
NITEROIENSE GOALS
Niteroiense Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NIT 8 of 10 (80%) · CAM 6 of 10 (60%)52%
Niteroiense scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Campo Grande AC RJ conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Campo Grande AC RJ's level · Campo Grande AC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAM 9 of 10 (90%) · NIT 7 of 10 (70%)81%
Campo Grande AC RJ: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Niteroiense: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Campo Grande AC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Campo Grande AC RJ's level
CARDS
no price yet
CAM 8 of 8 (100%) · NIT 8 of 9 (89%)94.4%
Campo Grande AC RJ's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Niteroiense's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Campo Grande AC RJ: only games against sides at Niteroiense's level · Niteroiense: only games against sides at Campo Grande AC RJ's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
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543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
Campo Grande AC RJ have scored in 50% of their games.
Niteroiense have scored in 80% of their games.
Campo Grande AC RJ kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Niteroiense kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.