Audax Rio EC RJ vs Goytacaz FC RJ
Match details. Carioca, Serie B1. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Audax Rio EC RJ have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W L D L. Goytacaz FC RJ have won five, drawn two and lost one of their last eight league games, 2.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D W W.
The numbers. Audax Rio EC RJ score 0.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Audax Rio EC RJ average 9.8 shots (3.5 on target), 3.6 corners and 4.1 cards a game. Goytacaz FC RJ score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game over their last eight, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Goytacaz FC RJ average 10.0 shots (5.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The case against. Audax Rio EC RJ's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Goytacaz FC RJ to win. A tight game. Goytacaz FC RJ are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Goytacaz FC RJ. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 18%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Goytacaz FC RJ at 1.30, rated 77% (Goytacaz FC RJ unbeaten in 7 of 8; Audax Rio EC RJ failed to win 3 of 5 at home). The safer one: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.21 (98%). Predicted score: Audax Rio EC RJ 0-1 Goytacaz FC RJ (13% chance).
The agreed story. Goytacaz FC RJ or the draw, a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).