Santa Lucia FC vs Naxxar Lions FC
Match details. Challenge League. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. Santa Lucia FC have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D W. Naxxar Lions FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L.
The numbers. Santa Lucia FC score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Santa Lucia FC average 11.8 shots (5.3 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Naxxar Lions FC score 1.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Naxxar Lions FC average 5.6 shots (2.4 on target), 2.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. Naxxar Lions FC's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Santa Lucia FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Santa Lucia FC the likelier winners; Santa Lucia FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Santa Lucia FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Santa Lucia FC 2-1 Naxxar Lions FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).