Treaty United vs DLR Waves

Match details. Premier Division, Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.

Form. Treaty United have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L D. DLR Waves have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L.

The numbers. Treaty United score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Treaty United average 5.1 corners and 0.6 cards a game. DLR Waves score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. DLR Waves average 2.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 81% against the records' 60%.

The read. No firm call: Treaty United are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Treaty United the likelier winners; Treaty United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Treaty United. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Treaty United 2-1 DLR Waves (10% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Treaty United the favourite), an open game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.