Match details. Premier Division, Women. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Bohemian FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. Shamrock Rovers FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L.
The numbers. Bohemian FC score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Bohemian FC average 6.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Shamrock Rovers FC score 2.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Shamrock Rovers FC average 5.3 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Bohemian FC 1-1 Shamrock Rovers FC (12% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Shamrock Rovers FC the favourite), goals in between.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).