THE READ
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 7. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Las Rozas CF have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D. Mexico FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D.
The numbers. Las Rozas CF score 2.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Las Rozas CF average 10.2 shots (4.9 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Mexico FC score two and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Mexico FC average 9.9 shots (3.9 on target), 5.3 corners and 3.4 cards a game.
The case against. Mexico FC's record still gives them 20% to win.
The read. Las Rozas CF to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Las Rozas CF the likelier winners; Las Rozas CF are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Las Rozas CF. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. Best bet: Las Rozas CF or Draw at 1.18, 80% on the records (Las Rozas CF unbeaten in 8 of 10; Mexico FC failed to win 4 of 5 away). Full cover: Mexico FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.46. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Las Rozas CF 2-1 Mexico FC (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Las Rozas CF or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
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LAS 10 of 10 (100%) · MEX 5 of 5 (100%)96.7%
Las Rozas CF: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mexico FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at Mexico FC's level · Mexico FC: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
Las Rozas CF or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
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LAS 5 of 5 (100%) · MEX 9 of 10 (90%)96.7%
Las Rozas CF scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mexico FC trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at Mexico FC's level · Mexico FC: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
Las Rozas CF or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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LAS 10 of 10 (100%) · MEX 5 of 5 (100%)96.7%
Las Rozas CF: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mexico FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at Mexico FC's level · Mexico FC: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
Las Rozas CF 1UPPAGE ONLY
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LAS 4 of 5 (80%) · MEX 7 of 10 (70%)83.3%
Las Rozas CF scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mexico FC trailed in 5 of 5 away · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at Mexico FC's level · Mexico FC: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
Las Rozas CF or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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LAS 7 of 10 (70%) · MEX 5 of 5 (100%)80%
Las Rozas CF: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mexico FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at Mexico FC's level · Mexico FC: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
Double Chance: Las Rozas CF or DrawMAININ CODES
1.19
LAS 8 of 10 (80%) · MEX 4 of 5 (80%)80%
Las Rozas CF unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mexico FC failed to win 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at Mexico FC's level · Mexico FC: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
Las Rozas CF or Draw & Over 1.5PAGE ONLY
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LAS 8 of 10 (80%) · MEX 3 of 5 (60%)70%
Las Rozas CF: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mexico FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at Mexico FC's level · Mexico FC: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
Las Rozas CF (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.29
LAS 5 of 7 (71%) · MEX 4 of 6 (67%)69%
Las Rozas CF won 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Mexico FC lost 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 69% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at Mexico FC's level · Mexico FC: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level · won 6, refunded 2, lost 1
Las Rozas CF to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.71
LAS 5 of 10 (50%) · MEX 3 of 5 (60%)51.7%
Las Rozas CF won 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mexico FC lost 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 45% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at Mexico FC's level · Mexico FC: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
GOALS
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LAS 10 of 10 (100%) · MEX 5 of 5 (100%)98.3%
Las Rozas CF: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mexico FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at Mexico FC's level · Mexico FC: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
1.24
LAS 10 of 10 (100%) · MEX 4 of 5 (80%)88.3%
Las Rozas CF: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mexico FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at Mexico FC's level · Mexico FC: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
1.78
LAS 7 of 10 (70%) · MEX 4 of 5 (80%)70%
Las Rozas CF: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mexico FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at Mexico FC's level · Mexico FC: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
LAS ROZAS CF GOALS
Las Rozas CF Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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LAS 10 of 10 (100%) · MEX 5 of 5 (100%)96.7%
Las Rozas CF scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mexico FC conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at Mexico FC's level · Mexico FC: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level
MEXICO FC GOALS
Mexico FC Over 0.5 goalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.45
LAS 4 of 5 (80%) · MEX 8 of 10 (80%)78.3%
Mexico FC scored in 4 of 5 away · Las Rozas CF conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Mexico FC: only games against sides at Las Rozas CF's level · Las Rozas CF: only games against sides at Mexico FC's level
Left off the list: Over 3.5 Cards (the numbers (64%) and the records (87%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Las Rozas CF Over 1.5 goals (Las Rozas CF's own games don't back it (5 of 10))
TRENDS
Las Rozas CF have scored in 100% of their games.
Mexico FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Las Rozas CF kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Mexico FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.