Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 12. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Tenerife C have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. UD Las Palmas C have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L D.
The numbers. CD Tenerife C score two and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. CD Tenerife C average 9.0 shots (3.8 on target), 2.5 corners and 2.5 cards a game. UD Las Palmas C score 1.6 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. UD Las Palmas C average 4.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, 80% on the records (CD Tenerife C: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; UD Las Palmas C: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Leave: CD Tenerife C or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); UD Las Palmas C or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CD Tenerife C 2-1 UD Las Palmas C (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).