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Celtiga CF vs UD Somozas

CLASS E
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THE READ

Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 1. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.

Form. Celtiga CF have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten league games, 0.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D D W L. UD Somozas have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D W L D.

The numbers. Celtiga CF score 1.1 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Celtiga CF average 8.8 shots (5.2 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game. UD Somozas score 1.1 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. UD Somozas average 12.2 shots (5.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Celtiga CF 1-1 UD Somozas (14% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (UD Somozas the favourite), goals in between.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CEL 8 of 10 (80%) · UDS 9 of 10 (90%)85%
Celtiga CF: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Somozas: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Celtiga CF: only games against sides at UD Somozas's level · UD Somozas: only games against sides at Celtiga CF's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CEL 7 of 10 (70%) · UDS 10 of 10 (100%)85%
Celtiga CF: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Somozas: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Celtiga CF: only games against sides at UD Somozas's level · UD Somozas: only games against sides at Celtiga CF's level
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.38
CEL 8 of 10 (80%) · UDS 7 of 10 (70%)57%
Celtiga CF: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Somozas: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Celtiga CF: only games against sides at UD Somozas's level · UD Somozas: only games against sides at Celtiga CF's level
UD SOMOZAS GOALS
UD Somozas Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.40
UDS 7 of 10 (70%) · CEL 7 of 10 (70%)52%
UD Somozas scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Celtiga CF conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · UD Somozas: only games against sides at Celtiga CF's level · Celtiga CF: only games against sides at UD Somozas's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.6%
Celtiga CF goals →
UD Somozas goals ↓
0-09%
1-09%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.6%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-114%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
CELTIGA CFLLLDLLWDDW0.90 PPG
UD SOMOZASDWDDLDLWDL1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CELTIGA CF HOMExUD SOMOZAS AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME1.101.60CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS10%3.00CORNERS A GAME4.751.60CARDS A GAME1.50
TRENDS
Celtiga CF have scored in 60% of their games.
UD Somozas have scored in 70% of their games.
Celtiga CF kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
UD Somozas kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards
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