Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 11. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. CE Andratx have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D D. CD Migjorn have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L.
The numbers. CE Andratx score 1.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. CE Andratx average 1.5 corners and 5.0 cards a game. CD Migjorn score 0.8 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Migjorn average 2.0 corners and 5.0 cards a game.
The case against. CD Migjorn's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. CE Andratx to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CE Andratx the likelier winners; CE Andratx are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Both Teams to Score - Yes (the signs point different ways); CE Andratx or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CE Andratx or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CE Andratx 1-0 CD Migjorn (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).