Match details. Liga Portugal 3. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Lusitano GC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. UD Oliveirense have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L W.
The numbers. Lusitano GC score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Lusitano GC average 9.1 shots (3.0 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game. UD Oliveirense score 1.5 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. UD Oliveirense average 9.8 shots (4.1 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The case against. Lusitano GC's record still gives them 31% to win.
The read. UD Oliveirense to win. UD Oliveirense are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour UD Oliveirense.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Cards (the signs point different ways); UD Oliveirense 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Lusitano GC 0-1 UD Oliveirense (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
UD Oliveirense or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUS 8 of 10 (80%) · UDO 5 of 6 (83%)81.1%
UD Oliveirense: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lusitano GC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80%
UD Oliveirense or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUS 4 of 5 (80%) · UDO 9 of 10 (90%)78.9%
UD Oliveirense scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lusitano GC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 6 at home
UD Oliveirense or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUS 7 of 10 (70%) · UDO 5 of 6 (83%)76.1%
UD Oliveirense: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lusitano GC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 75%
UD Oliveirense or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUS 7 of 10 (70%) · UDO 4 of 6 (67%)68.9%
UD Oliveirense: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lusitano GC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 at home · both last 10: 70%
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUS 6 of 6 (100%) · UDO 9 of 10 (90%)95.4%
Lusitano GC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · UD Oliveirense: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUS 6 of 6 (100%) · UDO 8 of 10 (80%)91.6%
Lusitano GC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · UD Oliveirense: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LUS 6 of 6 (100%) · UDO 8 of 10 (80%)88.4%
Lusitano GC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · UD Oliveirense: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.38
LUS 3 of 6 (50%) · UDO 8 of 10 (80%)73%
Lusitano GC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 6 at home · UD Oliveirense: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
UD OLIVEIRENSE GOALS
UD Oliveirense Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.51
LUS 8 of 10 (80%) · UDO 5 of 6 (83%)70.2%
UD Oliveirense scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lusitano GC conceded in 5 of 6 at home · both last 10: 80%
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.45
LUS 5 of 6 (83%) · UDO 7 of 10 (70%)74.4%
Lusitano GC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 at home · UD Oliveirense: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Cards (the numbers (94%) and the records (74%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it); UD Oliveirense 1UP (the numbers (50%) and the records (66%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–18.6%
Lusitano GC goals →
UD Oliveirense goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
LUSITANO GCWWLLDWLLDL1.10 PPG
UD OLIVEIRENSEWLDDWWLWLD1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LUSITANO GC HOMExUD OLIVEIRENSE AWAY
0.80SCORED A GAME1.501.20CONCEDED A GAME1.5020%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.90CORNERS A GAME4.602.50CARDS A GAME2.20
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.83POINTS A GAME1.20-0.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.20–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.26LEAGUE GAMES5
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
53%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
45%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
LUSITANO GC OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
UD OLIVEIRENSE OR DRAW
65%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LUSITANO GCxUD OLIVEIRENSE
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.801.40CONCEDED A GAME1.002.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Lusitano GC have scored in 50% of their games.
UD Oliveirense have scored in 80% of their games.
Lusitano GC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
UD Oliveirense kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards